Nikki Haley hailed for Iowa surge, but Trump still dominant

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Nikki Haley hailed for Iowa surge, but Trump still dominant
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Nikki Haley, the former U.N. ambassador and South Carolina governor, has surged to 16% in a new Iowa poll as voters put her international experience in the limelight.

Nikki Haley’s positive press is on the rise, along with her polling numbers. There had already been a spate of 'Haley’s Moment' stories, but the gold-standard poll in Iowa is fueling another round. The former U.N. ambassador has jumped to 16%, up from 6% in the new Des Moines Register survey, which ties her with Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, who is down three points among likely caucus-goers and has already been the subject of premature political obits.

Haley is 'breaking through at the right moment,' veteran GOP operative Mike Murphy told Politico in a piece the day before the poll was published. 'Everything else has been ridiculous preseason coverage, like baseball teams at summer training … I think it all starts now.' And yet… Donald Trump is still dominating the campaign. The Register/NBC poll has the former president way ahead at 43%.

Trailing the field are Tim Scott, who says it’s Iowa or bust, at 7%, and Chris Christie and Vivek Ramaswamy, who are both at 4%. Trump’s detractors are excited about one statistic: 37% of his voters say they’re keeping their options open before the January caucuses. That means they could switch, but peeling them away may be more difficult than it sounds.

Haley is trying to assemble a new coalition. 'She’s digging in across demographics,' pollster J. Ann Selzer said of the former South Carolina governor. What the press is calling Haley’s 'breakout' may well prove to be real, especially in later primary states, but she’s still got a long way to go to catch up with the man who sent her to the United Nations.

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