A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike Dolan.
Fed futures are moving in tandem - now pricing a July 'terminal rate' of 5.30% for the first time, almost a half percentage point higher than pencilled in late last year. And implied year-end rates are as high as 5.12% - almost half a point higher than where the current rate sits.
Unsurprisingly, bonds - so many investors' asset class of choice this year - are cowering at the prospect. Two-year Treasury yields hit a three-month high at 4.72% on Friday, with 10-year yields at 3-month peaks too - homing in on 4% for the first time since November. Perhaps just as worrying for the Fed and investors alike is the rise in 10-year "breakeven" inflation expectations to 2.41% - their highest in a year.
Jarring for many indebted emerging economies around the world, the dollar is surging again. The dollar's DXY index hit its highest since early January and is now up 3.5% from this month's lows, with the dollar/yen pairing reaching the highest level of the year so far.
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