One reason for a close House election: Many Republicans ran ahead of Trump’s 2020 performance in their districts, while a number of Democrats outdid Biden
Amid voter concerns about the economy and inflation, Republicans picked up seats in the U.S. House in Tuesday’s, though the results fell short of the sweeping gains some in the GOP anticipated. Many Republicans managed to run ahead of former President Donald Trump’s 2020 performance in their districts. But a number of Democrats also outperformed President Biden, ensuring a narrowly divided Congress.
The shift in voter preferences can be seen in those districts that most directly reflect the national mood. The partisan voter index, or PVI, compareswith that of the nation, based on the past two presidential elections. For example, Mr. Trump’s average share of the vote in 2016 and 2020 was 49% in Michigan’s 8th congressional district. That is one point better than his average share of the vote nationally across those two elections, giving the district a PVI of R+1.
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