The Western Conference semifinal series between Dallas and the top-seeded Thunder tips off Tuesday in Oklahoma City.
Oklahoma City opened as a 3.5-point home favorite, and based on our Action Network Public Betting data, the ticket count is 50/50. Thus, the market is split on which side to pick in this matchup.Based on that move, the assumption is that we’ll see the Thunder play at a pace similar to what we saw during the regular season.
Thus, there’s a bit of intrigue with this series because there’s an element of the unknown of what we can expect, especially considering that the Mavericks also reshaped their team at the trade deadline by acquiring power forward P.J. Washington and center Daniel Gafford. Both players bolstered the Mavericks’ frontcourt while improving their defense on the wing and inside the paint.
However, during the first-round series against the Pelicans, the average pace dropped to 95.88 over the four games. And despite ultimately sweeping New Orleans, the OKC offense wasn’t as fluid, considering its efficiency dropped from 118.3 in the 82-game season to 109.6 in the first round. To compensate for its lack of rebounding, OKC tries to generate pace by forcing turnovers to trigger fastbreak opportunities. That strategy was largely successful against the Pelicans, who committed a playoff-worst 18 turnovers per game.
We can also get better numbers on rebounding props, considering that it’s a Thunder weakness and that the market projects a higher-scoring game.There hasn’t been much dropoff in Wiggins’ minutes in the playoffs .
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