MLB odds, predictions, and picks for Miami Marlins at Los Angeles Dodgers on August 19. MLB free pick for Marlins-Dodgers.
: Covers may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook or betting sitePerez is going through it right now. He’s allowed eight earned runs in the month of August, making two starts and yielding four walks and three home runs. He’s coming off a month of July that saw him allow seven runs in 6 1/3 innings. The righty has a ton of talent but he’s been getting rocked lately.
While his season-long expected stats look good, Perez has pitched to a .255 xBA or worse over the last two months. His hard-hit rate remains high, perhaps a result of generating more swings and misses. It’s also worth noting that his ground ball has taken a huge dive in August. With this much volatility, it’s clear that we can’t trust the highly-touted prospect quite yet. The Dodgers are 11th in wRC+ over the last two days but are hitting .273 with solid strikeout and walk numbers. The chances they get some runs on the board here are high, and while I do think they win this game, the state of the Dodgers bullpen has me fearful for the Under here. With that, I’ll lean towards the Over if you’re looking for a play on the total.
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