It’s still too early to write off as a potential hazard for the United States
Tropical Storm Lee is fast approaching hurricane strength, and already forecasters are projecting it to careen toward Category 4 or 5 intensity over the Atlantic Ocean this weekend. The specifics of its future course remain uncertain as it barrels westward.Forecasters are confident it will approach the Leeward Islands — which divide the Atlantic and Caribbean — later this week before taking a right turn and bolting northward.
“Continued steady to rapid intensification is expected during the next few days,” wrote the National Hurricane Center. “Most of the intensity models are very aggressive, bringing Lee to major hurricane status by the weekend.”A dozen storms have formed so far this season, helping churn through ACE — or “Accumulated Cyclone Energy,” a metric meteorologists use to determine how much energy storms extract from warm seawaters and expend on strong winds.
Visible satellite showed Lee’s classic spiral shape. At the upper levels, notice evidence of “outflow,” or high altitude exhaust as spent air is evacuated away from the storm. It’s visible as wispy cirrus clouds fanning outward clockwise from the center. That is also an indicator of strengthening. In the past several hours, its center has erred toward the southern edge of model forecasts, something that meteorologists also observed on Tuesday.Into early next week, Lee will be steered between a clockwise-spinning high pressure “ridge” to the north, which acts as an impenetrable barrier, and an approaching jet stream dip and low pressure system that will be present over the eastern U.S. by next week.
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