New York battled back in Game 5, setting up our Knicks vs. Heat prediction for Game 6.
Knicks +5.5 vs. Heat -5.5 Odds courtesy of Caesars, current at time of writing and subject to change. I expect the scoring to slow down in Game 6. Teams generally play tighter during elimination games, so points are at a premium. in Game 6 of a playoff series are 28-16 since 2003, per Joe Dellera of The Action Network.
We saw it Thursday night in the Boston-Philadelphia and Denver-Phoenix games, as both went way under the total in a Game 6. The Knicks haven’t been able to score against Miami’s suffocating defense. While Jalen Brunson has been unbelievable, the Heat have held him to 47.6% shooting from the field and 30.8% from 3 – lackluster, inefficient splits.
Jalen Brunson dribbles away from Bam Adebayo and Gabe Vincent during the Knicks’ Game 4 loss in Miami.Meanwhile, the Heat have seen major regression in the 3-point department, shooting only 31.2% from deep.Essentially, both offenses are struggling. Moreover, the pace has been uber-slow, at around 93 possessions for the series. Both teams are running on fumes while potentially dealing with minor injuries.
Ultimately, the Knicks and Heat will play slow and struggle to score baskets with their seasons on the line, the perfect formula for an under. Knicks vs. Heat pick
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