Key Voting Bloc Has Swung 15 Points to GOP Since Manchin Killed Child Tax Credit

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Key Voting Bloc Has Swung 15 Points to GOP Since Manchin Killed Child Tax Credit
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'This isn't just bad policy. It's bad politics,' said MondaireJones. 'If Democrats lose ground in the midterms, people like Manchin will be to blame.'

"Among parents or guardians with at least one child under 18 in the household who received the expanded child tax credit payments, 46% said they are most likely to vote for a Republican congressional candidate this year while 43% said they're inclined to back the Democratic candidate,"Yokley added that the"narrow GOP advantage among this group stands in contrast with Democrats' lead of 12 percentage points in late December, before the benefit expired.

"Among all voters," Yokley noted,"the latest survey found Democrats and Republicans tied at 43% on the generic congressional ballot."that tens of millions of U.S. families received checks under the expanded CTC last year, the electoral implications of the survey could be significant. Commentators were quick to point fingers at Manchin and other right-wing Democrats in response to the polling, which appears to validate progressives'that the majority party could face electoral disaster in the 2022 midterms if they fail to reinstate the enhanced CTC.

In recent weeks, there has been no discernible momentum on Capitol Hill toward a deal to revive the benefit, despite evidence that its expiration is driving a in child poverty. More than 70% of boosted CTC recipients said the benefit's end had at least a"minor" impact on their financial security, according to the

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