New polls conducted after the July debates suggest that public opinion largely aligns with the conventional wisdom about who performed well and who fell flat
Contrary to popular belief born of political exhaustion, the twenty-car pileup known as the Democratic primary debates may actually have accomplished their intended purpose: helping voters to make decisions about the candidates at hand. A handful of new polls conducted after July’s back-to-back debate nights suggest that public opinion largely aligns with the conventional wisdom about who performed well and who fell flat.
This more or less corresponds with voters’ assessment of her debate performance. Politico/Morning Consult found that 44% of Democratic primary voters said Warren did an “excellent” job, and Quinnipiac found that 28% of Democrats who watched the debates said she did “the best job.
That’s not to say the debates are total game changers. The absence of a definitive Warren surge, despite the fact that she’s widely seen to have outperformed the others, likely has to do with voters’ expressed concern for electability. A fullnominating a candidate who’s electable is more important than nominating one who “shares your views on issues.” Both responses could help explain why Biden is still at the front of the pack, even with Warren outperforming him onstage.
Still, the fact that voters seem to have gathered information about non-Biden candidates through their debate performances could be bad news for the pile of egotistical chaff at the bottom. At the moment, candidates will only qualify for the next debate in September if they reach 2% in four polls, as well as 130,000 individual donors, by August 28.
are close to meeting the polling threshold. Other candidates have had plenty of time to make their case, but remain in the
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