Kamala Harris is nowhere close to matching Barack Obama’s early strength in 2008 among African-Americans. ed_kilgore writes
Kamala Harris’s presidential bid is modeled on Barack Obama’s 2008 campaign. Photo: Getty Images It’s never been a secret that California senator Kamala Harris’s strategy for securing the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination is based on what Barack Obama was able to do in 2008, as I explained last year when Harris’s staff began publicly discussing her path to the nomination:
A big part of the 2008 analogy involved Harris challenging Joe Biden’s early grip on African-American voters — particularly in South Carolina — much as Obama did to Hillary Clinton 12 years earlier. And when Harris managed to beat up on Biden in the first round of 2020 Democratic debates over his position on school desegregation back in the day, it looked like she might be well on her way to an Obama-style surge among black and white Democrats alike.
For one thing, Obama was solidly in second place in the Democratic field from practically the moment he announced his candidacy in February 2007. He never had to struggle like Harris to join the top tier of candidates. More often than not, she’s been closer to where 2008 candidates like Bill Richardson, Chris Dodd, and — ironically — Joe Biden were.
In the pivotal state of South Carolina, where Harris has spent a lot of time and effort, her performance among that state’s African-Americans is just not very impressive when compared to Obama’s in 2007. As was the case with African-American voters nationally, Obama was running very close to Clinton among black South Carolina Democrats in August 2007 . Meanwhile, a late-July 2019 Monmouth poll of black South Carolina Democrats showed Biden leading Harris by 51 percent to 12 percent.
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