John Ivison: Recent history suggests Pierre Poilievre should avoid drawing scrutiny to his own plans and priorities while voters are angry at the Liberals. cdnpoli
, released Wednesday, gives the Conservatives the biggest lead they have held since Justin Trudeau was elected in 2015, with 37 per cent support, compared to the Liberals 29 per cent.The mood among voters is vindictive — a majority think the country is heading in the wrong direction, with even larger majorities saying the Liberals are not focused enough on issues like the cost of living, housing and health care.
But the bigger reason is that recent history suggests Poilievre should avoid drawing heightened scrutiny to his own plans and priorities while voters are angry at the Liberals. Stephen Harper mused about a majority Conservative government in the 2004 campaign and lost. By 2006, he was reassuring voters that he was not a threat and that a Conservative government would not be able to radically alter the system because of the safeguards provided by the Liberal-dominated courts, public service and Senate.Article content
In 2004, Harper was relatively successful in presenting his party as a moderate, mainstream alternative to Paul Martin’s Liberals for the first half of the campaign, and for a 10-day period led in the polls. But outbursts from caucus members undermined that effort .Article content But lessons were learned from that exercise in snatching defeat from the jaws of victory, and they paid off in 2006.
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