Dovish comments from Fed officials coupled with the violence in Israel and Gaza have put a lid on US Treasury yields, boosting JPY. What is the outlook and what are the key levels to watch in USD/JPY, AUD/JPY and GBP/JPY?
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Dallas Fed president Lorie Logan and Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson on Monday suggested that the sharp rise in yields has tightened financial conditions, lessening the need for further interest rate hikes. Markets are now pricing in around a 10% chance of a 25 basis points hike by the Fed when it meets next month, down from around a 28% chance a week ago. Moreover, the yen appears to have attracted some safe-haven bids on account of a flare up in geopolitical tensions.
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