TNF odds, picks, and predictions for Jacksonville Jaguars vs New Orleans Saints. NFL betting best bet and game analysis.
With a handful of factors working against the Jaguars in this Week 7 opener against the Saints, could they be in for a massive letdown? Read our NFL betting picks for Thursday Night Football to find out.begin with the Jacksonville Jaguars limping into Caesars Superdome as a growing 3-point road dog vs. the 3-3 New Orleans Saints.
Now they might have to lean on CJ Beathard who hasn’t started a game since 2020 and has taken three or more sacks in nine of his 12 career starts. On the season, the Saints have allowed 20 or fewer points in five of their six games, rank second in opponent completion percentage, fifth in total yards allowed, and eighth in RZ TD%. The short week would certainly make it even more difficult for Beathard if Lawrence does sit.
This spread could move anywhere from 1.5 to 4.5. Lawrence was at practice Tuesday with a brace and this line moved from 3 to 1.5. As of Tuesday, there's still plenty of room for movement. My guess is if Lawrence is in, the spread is Saints -1.5, and if Beathard is in, it moves to New Orleans -3.5 or even as high as -4.5.
New Orleans has excelled defensively even without QB pressure. On the season, it ranks in the bottom-third in pressure percentage but if it can get in the backfield vs. a banged-up O-line and a possible backup QB who has taken 3+ sacks in nine of his 12 NFL starts, Jacksonville could be punting early and often Thursday night.
It’s hard to get excited about a sub-40-point total but here we are. This number was 42.5 on the look-ahead but the Lawrence situation is bringing it down fast. The Saints are a perfect 6-0 to the Under on the season thanks to an offense scoring 18.2 points per game and a defense holding opponents to 16.0 per contest.
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