FCS powerhouses are set to square off on Saturday in Atlanta, and Douglas Farmer has his expert analysis lined up for the first bowl game of the year.
The first football this weekend features the Celebration Bowl between the Jackson State Tigers and the South Carolina State Bulldogs.
But when someone asks you for further justification, let them know that Jackson State beat Florida A&M, 35-21, while SC State lost at Florida A&M, 22-18. That is not the best measuring stick, the transitive property is rarely a viable piece of handicapping, but it is a start. If your Saturday conversation is still not convinced and the thought of revenge for the 2021 Celebration Bowl loss does not appease them, then cap the conversation by pointing out SC State has had two weeks off and this spread likely reflects that. That alone highlights our inflated value here.
Jackson State has averaged 39 points this season in FCS play, while SC State hangs 37.6. Those numbers alone are not logically enough to induce you to the Over 53.5 points , but what if I told you the Tigers have scored 39.4 points per game in their last four while the Bulldogs have scored 47.6 points per game in their last five?Perhaps it is the fast grass of Mercedes-Benz Stadium, or the stakes of this matchup drawing more adrenaline.
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