Tensions between Gaza and Israel are escalating but neither side can afford a military escalation. Opinion | Yousef Alhelou
Despite Hamas’s and Islamic Jihad’s denial of responsibility for the firing of two long-range rockets from Gaza into Tel Aviv—and the Israeli army'sthat they must have been fired by mistake—Israel held all of Gaza responsible and retaliated with massive strikes on Gaza last week.
The two rockets, the first fired since the 2014 war, triggered a state of panic among Israel’s political and army officials as Netanyahu led an emergency a meeting at Kirya military headquarters. The demand to retaliate grew when Education Minister protests held earlier in the day by Palestinians. This analysis is backed by security experts in Israel who speculate that the domestic disturbances could have led Hamas to strike Israel as a diversion.
The fragile truce between Israel and Hamas-ruled Gaza has been in place for some time with sporadic attacks happening from to time, amid weekly protests along the Gaza security fence.It’s clear that both Israel and Palestinian resistance groups are not interested in an escalation. Israel has been using Gaza as an experimental field; waging frequent air attacks and tank shelling to regain the power of deterrence in the face of Palestinian resistance.
Netanyahu knows a military manoeuvre in Gaza before the elections might cost him his career if he suffers a defeat. He likely prefers to show restraint for the time being rather than a harsh response to the shock rocket attack on Tel Aviv. He too knows that the capabilities of resistance groups have improved. Bibi is smart when it comes to his reputation and knows when to unleash lethal force and when to hold tight, unlike Lieberman who is a simple warmonger.
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