Iranian Presidential Election amidst Internal, Regional and Global Tensions

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Iranian Presidential Election amidst Internal, Regional and Global Tensions
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This heart surgeon also realized that it would be almost impossible for him to win without the participation of reformist voters.

Please note that this article was automatically translated using Microsoft Azure AI, Open AI, and Google Translation AI. We cannot ensure that the entire content is translated accurately. If you spot any errors or inconsistencies, contact us atThe result of the second round of Iran's presidential election on July 5, 2024, was truly surprising. Even beyond the expectations of Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

Moreover, the Supervisory Board, which is tasked with selecting who is allowed or not allowed to participate in the presidential election, disqualified all reformist candidates except for Pezeshkian. Even then, he was considered only as a"cheerleader" candidate to attract reformist voters to the polls. However, this strategy failed because, despite being a member of parliament, Pezeshkian's reputation was unknown.

Iran's economy is increasingly collapsing, resulting in social vulnerability due to the Covid-19 pandemic. Without social sensitivity, Raisi is enforcing stricter dressing codes. Hence, when Mahsa Amini died in police custody in 2022 due to being accused of not wearing the proper hijab, massive demonstrations erupted in all major cities for months.

Although radical change is impossible—Khamenei and the Establishment do not want it—reasonable changes in domestic and foreign politics are possible.In difficult economic conditions, the government spends 6 billion US dollars annually to finance its proxies in Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, Palestine, and Yemen . Those who are part of the"axis of resistance" are now involved in the Gaza war to assist Hamas.that is free from foreign interference and Israeli threats.

There is strong suspicion that if the threat from Israel is realized, Iran will be directly involved. As the US will side with Israel, US military bases in the region will also become targets. Houthi attacks on cargo ships crossing the Red Sea will increase.. Several days before voting day, the US administration under Joe Biden imposed sanctions on dozens of Iranian individuals who were suspected of violating sanctions.

If a full-scale war between Israel and Hezbollah breaks out, it is possible that Russia will enter the arena to assist Iran and its proxies by supplying advanced missiles that will disrupt Israel's air defense system. Russia has a military base in Tarsus, Syria, near Lebanon.

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