Our Iowa vs. Ohio State predictions expect these stingy defenses to tell the story in Columbus.
Iowa and Ohio State might just have the two best defenses in the nation, and while it's tough to stop this Buckeyes offense, we're not sure Iowa will be able to contribute to this 45.5-point total.
While there’s absolutely zero shock hearing that about a Kirk Ferentz team, the Buckeyes have almost had a change in philosophy this season — specifically on offense. That’s due in part to this team not having a first-round talent at QB like C.J. Stroud or Justin Fields. Even last week against Michigan State, which ranks 26th in SP+ on defense, Ohio State put up just 38 — a disappointing number by their standards against a lesser opponent. That was partially because they churned out the clock and won the time of possession battle .
While running back Kaleb Johnson is a star, Ohio State should be able to keep him far below his average of 171.2 yards per game. The Buckeyes are second in SP+ on defense and Top 5 in both EPA per rush and dropback. It’s only been four games but Howard has yet to prove he’s a major upgrade over Kyle McCord. This matchup with Iowa is by far his biggest test of the season and I think he’s going to take his lumps.
Iowa has stayed Under the total in nine of their last 13 games for +4.60 units and a 32% ROI). Find more: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
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