Investors eye Fed’s next move as Wall Street’s fear gauge jumps 50%
Global stock markets suffered a significant blow on Monday amid rising fears of a U.S. recession, prompting debates among investors and analysts about whether the Federal Reserve will need to accelerate its policy easing to support growth.options. It reflects investor sentiment and anxiety, with higher values indicating increased market uncertainty and potential turmoil. The index is widely used as a barometer of market risk and investor sentiment.
"We have increased our 12-month recession odds by 10pp to 25%," Goldman Sachs analysts wrote in a note, though they believed the risk was mitigated by the Fed's substantial capacity to ease policy."The premise of our forecast is that job growth will recover in August and the FOMC will judge 25bp cuts a sufficient response to any downside risks," they added.
"Now that the Fed looks to be materially behind the curve, we expect a 50bp cut at the September meeting, followed by another 50bp cut in November," JPMorgan noted.
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