As the Western world imposes sanctions on Russia, there could be similar penalties for other bad actors who become more militarily inclined.
Against that backdrop, the use of broad and deep economic sanctions that isolate Russia and China from the Western democratic and capitalist world would be a much more likely and impactful response.While such a scenario has been unthinkable since the fall of the Berlin Wall and the opening of China at the end of the 20th century, it appears now to be a distinct possibility that old enmities and enemies have surged to the surface of foreign affairs.
Further, the pandemic laid bare the uneven trade-off between supply chain efficiencies and supply chain security. If that moment comes, it will not replace the risks of kinetic warfare, certainly not on a regional basis.
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