Let’s look at what the housing market taught us recently, noting some early clues of trouble that you might have missed.
Federal Reserve Bank’s Dallas branch released a reportThe warning was dismissed, shrugged off as overstating the market’s modest risks. Even the report said the “fear-of-missing-out wave of exuberance” wouldn’t be a repeat of the bubble-bursting crash of the 2000s.: “This might be a housing bubble. The evidence suggests it looks like a housing bubble. A little bit like a duck. It walks like a duck, it looks like a duck, it certainly might be a duck.
Who’s buying? Who’s selling? Are they homeowners, investors or second homes? We only have rough guesses. With that track record, who do you want stewarding the economy? Congress? The White House? Or simply the “free” market?2022’s market is nothing like the mass stupidity of the mid-2000sYes, mortgage approvals were of laughably poor quality in the early 2000s. When the market lost that boost, it cratered.
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