Here's why Mike Bloomberg thinks he win the Democratic nomination
The New York Timesthat a new Marquette University Law School poll showed Trump in reasonably good shape in Wisconsin and that his standing had since the start of the House impeachment hearings. Wisconsin, Mr. Balz noted, may well be the state that proves decisive in the electoral college tally.All the while Democratic voters nationally have been moving inexorably toward the view that the party should drop its ideological prerequisites and nominate the most electable candidate, period.
There are two ways things can go in the "electability" half of the bracket. Biden can win by default. Or he can get crushed in Iowa and New Hampshire by a 37-year-old gay mayor from South Bend, Indiana, and as a result, watch his candidacy collapse. The latter outcome would leave Buttigieg as the commander of the "electability" army, which enjoys an overwhelming numerical advantage over the "progressive" battalions.
It's on the latter scenario that Mr. Bloomberg's candidacy hinges. His handlers are presuming that having seen Mr. Biden dispatched and Mr. Buttigieg all-but-anointed, the Democratic primary electorate in the Super Tuesday states would recoil with buyer's remorse and scramble to find a more "suitable" replacement.
And there waiting for them, with literally billions of dollars ready to spend and open arms, would be Michael Bloomberg: Calm, competent, uncharismatic, efficient, former Republican, ruthless billionaire Michael Bloomberg, with an unholy host of political consultants and pollsters ready, willing and able to fan out across every last cable news show to explain why, beyond a shadow of a doubt, Mike Bloomberg was the most electable Democrat in November.
Assume that he wins the nomination. Can he win the general election? We'll get to the question in a subsequent "column." But the short answer is: Donald Trump won in 2016. Anything is possible.
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