Republicans are poised to take control of Congress, their fortunes rising in recent weeks as voters have seized on the inflation-wracked economy as the top issue.
Typically trailing Democrats in polls of the so-called “generic congressional ballot” even in years when they do well, Republicans in the past week have surged to a 4-percentage-point advantage in the latest Rasmussen Reports survey.“If the elections for Congress were held today, 47% of likely U.S. voters would vote for the Republican candidate, while 43% would vote for the Democrat,” said Rasmussen.
Typically, Democrats lead the generic ballot, even in years when they lose. That is because no matter what pollsters do to compensate, it leans heavily toward Democrats. Longtime Republican pollster Ed Goeas recently explained the history while discussing the latest Georgetown Institute of Politics and Public Service Battleground Civility Poll.
“Because there are many minority districts, there are many Democratic districts that are very Democrat — inner cities, particularly, that are 80% Democrat on the generic ballot,” Goeas said.
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