Republicans are eager for another opportunity to unseat Jon Tester in a state that Trump carried by more than 16 points in 2020. But Tester has proven an elusive target.
Sen. Jon Tester is undoubtedly a top-tier 2024 target for defeat by Republicans. But political baggage attached to the two most likely GOP Senate nominees has some Republican political professionals concerned.
Much of the 2024 political buzz has centered on Montana's two House members, Ryan Zinke and Matt Rosendale, and the negatives they might bring to a Senate race. Republicans are eager for another opportunity to unseat Tester in a state that Trump carried by more than 16 points in 2020. But Tester has proven an elusive target. Tester, as a state lawmaker in 2006, first won the Senate seat by beating an incumbent Republican senator. Tester then swatted away highly touted GOP challengers in 2012 and 2018.
Tester, the Senate’s only working farmer, has been successful in depicting his opponents as not true Montanans. In 2018, Tester’s campaign aggressively tried to brand the Baltimore-accented Rosendale as an outsider, blasting his Maryland roots and calling him “Maryland Matt.” In 2012, the Montana senator attacked the character of his GOP opponent, then-Rep.
“There is a concern among many Republicans that Rosendale, if he were to run, could blow it again like he did last time in 2018, and those concerns were amplified by that recent public poll that came out,” said a GOP strategist speaking on the condition of anonymity in an effort to reflect candidly on the situation.
“You need someone like a Steve Daines or a businessman that doesn’t give Tester as much to shoot at,” the person said. “We need someone with a clean slate because if it’s a straight Republican versus Democrat race, Republicans are in a much better place.”
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