The Stars are staring down the barrel of a clean sweep in the Western Conference Final tonight. Tyler Seguin hasn't had much to offer vs. the Golden Knights, and Covers_josh looks to fade him once more.
has not been a good goalie in these playoffs outside of a handful of games. He ranks as one of the worst goalies in the playoffs in goals saved above expected/60, is coming off a game where he was pulled seven minutes in, and might be wearing down with a heavy workload.
Bettors have wagered against the Stars tonight, as Dallas has moved from -125 to as long as -115, and I wouldn’t be surprised if this game closed as a pick ‘em. The Dallas goalie will also be playing in his 79th game of the year, which is by far the most he’s played in one year of his professional career. He played 58 games last year, and 29 games the season before that., is playing just his 28th game of the year, has a sub-2.00 GAA and a .940 SV% in the playoffs over eight games, and ranks fourth of 21 goalies in GSAx/60. Vegas is just a great team at insulating their goalie, and doesn’t allow a lot of high-danger chances.
I’m on the Vegas team total Over 2.5 at -127, but would only play that to -135. At -140, I would rather take Vegas on the moneyline at even money.
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