Will the Giants even the score in the series and gain some ground in the divisional standings, or will the Dodgers come out on top again?
Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.This is a good pitching battle between two quality arms. I give the slight edge to Logan Webb mostly because his run of success has lasted two seasons whereas Tyler Anderson’s numbers are all outliers from his career norms.
Webb has pitched six times against the Dodgers in his career and has been effective, limiting his rivals to a .631 OPS across 121 plate appearances. Anderson is familiar with the Giants. In eight games against San Francisco, he’s allowed a .729 OPS while notching only one win with a 4.40 career ERA. The Dodgers have the better lineup by seemingly every metric, but it’s not a blowout. San Francisco ranks 10th in OPS, eighth in wOBA, and 10th in wRC+ on the season. The Giants may not have the star power of their rivals, but they’ve found success at the plate by hitting one through nine.
The Giants are 4-0 in their last four games against a left-handed starter. They’ve hit lefties well this season, ranking sixth in wRC+ against southpaws. This is a heated rivalry and I’d be surprised to see the Giants go down without a fight. It came right down to the wire in last year’s 2-1 Dodgers win in Game 5 of the NL Divisional Series, and there’s not as much separating these teams as is commonly believed. The Giants are 12-7 in games that Webb has pitched this season. With an excellent pitcher on the mound, I like San Francisco’s chances to grab a win on Friday night.
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