Germany will vote in two elections that could signal the demise of establishment parties at home and across Europe

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Germany will vote in two elections that could signal the demise of establishment parties at home and across Europe
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“Establishment parties in Europe are being upstaged by political forces on the fringes.”

Local elections in the small German city of Bremen, together with European parliamentary elections, could be a bellwether of the fate of establishment political parties at a time when upstart political groups are radically shifting the political landscape across Europe. But while other countries are questioning their commitment to continental unity, Germany's shifting political landscape is not expected to prompt an abdication of the country's place at the center of the European Union.

In Berlin, election campaign billboards for European parliamentary elections, on May 21. Sean Gallup/Getty Images A campaign meeting of the German Social Democratic Party for the upcoming European parliamentary elections in Berlin, May 6. John MacDougall/Getty Images Now these newer political parties, including the far-right AFD, are expected to have a relatively strong showing in the European parliamentary election.

And although the AFD is quickly catching up with SPD, Merkel’s CDU and the Greens are still in the lead. Germany has 96 seats in the 751-seat European Parliament, and the AFD is projected to win just 12. By comparison, the CDU will likely get around 28 seats and the SPD 15, according to most polls, with the Greens hovering somewhere in the middle with around 18 seats.

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