Much has been happening in relation to the war in Ukraine, writes mpolymer. I see four key topics worth consideration:
1) Let's start with the nuclear attack concern. President Joe Biden says that we are now closer to nuclear Armageddon than at any time since the Cuban missile crisis.
First off, was Biden's statement backed by hard intelligence analysis? From all the open-source information we've seen, the answer is no. The head of Britain's GCHQ intelligence service echoed that point on Tuesday, saying that he has seen no evidence that Russian President Vladimir Putin is moving toward the use of nuclear weapons. The problem is that Biden's doomsday talk plays right into Putin's nuclear blackmail efforts.
2) The next consideration is Ukraine's attack on the Kerch bridge linking mainland Russia and Crimea and Putin’s response. I bet Sunday morning chatter over coffee went like this: Western intelligence and special operations personnel told their Ukrainian colleagues,"Hey mate, well done on the bridge!" Meanwhile, the policy/think tank/academia folks were crying,"Ukraine is winning, the end is near.
Of course, Russia's response was predictably barbaric. We've seen missiles strike civilian targets across Ukraine. But this reeks of desperation, not strength. Putin is not lashing out on the battlefield where he is losing, but rather against Ukrainian civilians. He seems to be reacting mainly for domestic purposes, as his nationalist right has been critical of the abject failure of the Russian military. So he doubles down on war crimes.
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