Four reasons why this nor’easter snowstorm is so tricky for forecasters to predict for N.J.

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Four reasons why this nor’easter snowstorm is so tricky for forecasters to predict for N.J.
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The winter storm track and timing are only two of the big issues that will determine how much snow will fall and how strong the winds will be.

and a foot or more could blast parts of New England this weekend. But that all depends on several factors that are making this forecast a very tricky one.“With a typical storm, one or two pieces of energy come together to create a storm,” said Rob Reale, a meteorologist at theforecasting company, based in Warren County. “This one has multiple pieces. So instead of timing out one or two things, we’re timing out three or four things.

With this storm, two of the powerhouse models — the European model and the American GFS model — have been far apart on where they project the storm’s track up the Atlantic coast. Under this potential track, the upcoming winter storm would move farther east — farther away from New Jersey — compared to other potential tracks.Two other major questions for forecasters to resolve are when and where the weekend storm will rapidly strengthen into what’s known as a “bomb cyclone.”

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