Fed Preview: Forecasts from 13 major banks, the last big hike for now? Fed InterestRate Macroeconomics Banks DollarIndex
decision on Wednesday, November 2 at 18:00 GMT and as we get closer to the release time, here are the expectations as forecast by analysts and researchers of 13 major banks. by 75 bps for the fourth consecutive time. That would put the Federal Funds rate at a range of 3.75-4%, up from 3-3.25%.“The Fed is on track to hike by 75 bps, taking the top end of the policy target range to 4.0%, up from 0.25% in March. This is the most aggressive tightening cycle in four decades.
Holding USD longs into this meeting is tactically difficult, but we also think the market has already made positioning adjustments and moved to price in a Fed shift. If Powell does not validate a shift, a sizable pain trade is in the offing.
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