Even as the U.S. and the Taliban head toward a deal that could see American troops withdraw from Afghanistan, few people remember what peace feels like after decades of violence.
“If the USA doesn’t take careful and deliberate steps in withdrawing their troops from Afghanistan, it will lead to internal and international conflict,” said Dawlat Waziri, a former defense ministry spokesman who was injured as a young officer when Soviet troops stormed the office of the Afghan chief of staff in December 1979.One fear is that after the U.S. leaves, the Taliban will intensify its offensive against Afghan President Ashraf Ghani, an ally of Washington.
“It’s not as if U.S. forces are guaranteed to leave no matter what happens on the ground in Afghanistan,” Andrew Watkins, a senior analyst at the International Crisis Group think tank, said. “There do seem to be some conditions.” Some experts say the future of Afghanistan would really hinge on successful talks between the Taliban and the Afghan government taking place after the signing of the U.S.-Taliban deal.
“I think they would think twice about the political implications of just trying to grab as much territory as they could, unless they were sure they could withstand the political fallout of doing so,” she said.
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