It’s coming. Winds are weakening along the equatorial Pacific Ocean. Heat is building beneath the ocean surface. Know more:
It’s coming. Winds are weakening along the equatorial Pacific Ocean. Heat is building beneath the ocean surface. By July, most forecast models agree that the climate system’s biggest player—El Niño—will return for the first time in nearly four years.
I’m a climate scientist who studies the oceans. After three years of La Niña, it’s time to start preparing for what El Niño may have in store.No two El Niño events are exactly alike, though we’ve seen enough of them that forecasters have a pretty good idea of what’s likely to happen. Specifically, El Niño tends to trigger intense and widespread periods of extreme ocean warming, known as marine heat waves.
Warm water might not seem like a big deal, especially to surfers hoping to leave their wetsuits at home. Sometimes cloudy places just aren’t as cloudy for a few months, which lets more sunlight in and heats up the ocean. Sometimes both weaker winds and fewer clouds happen at the same time, producing record-breaking marine heat waves.In the climate system, El Niño is king. When it dons its fiery crown, the entire planet takes notice, and the oceans are no exception.Along the US West Coast during El Niño, surface winds that normally blow from the north tend to subside.
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