ECB to keep monetary policy highly expansionary if forecast inflation remains below 2% – Natixis ECB Inflation Eurozone Banks
will fall back below the ECB’s 2% target from mid-2022. This is also what the European Central Bank expects. According to analysts at Natixis, as long as inflation is not a real threat in the eurozone, the ECB will keep its monetary policy highly expansionary.“The ECB has many objectives: Help ensure public debt sustainability; Boost private and public investment, especially in the energy transition; Reduce structural unemployment.
“Inflation is forecast to be lower than 2% in 2023. But it is important to watch out for any shock that could push up inflation in 2023: Social crisis and demands leading to faster wage growth, bearing in mind that wage earners’ purchasing power has fallen in 2021; Geopolitical crisis, for example between Europe and Russia, leading to a further sharp rise in European natural gas prices; A flare-up of the health crisis, causing bottlenecks to reappear, particularly in transport.
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