.byalistaircorp continues to crush Formula 1. Post-qualifying picks: Verstappen - Fastest lap and race win (-120) ✅ Norris - No Top-6 finish (-120) ✅ Pre-qualifying predictions: Russell - Podium finish (+162) ✅ Vettel - Points finish (+137) ❌
As mentioned, Zandvoort's characteristics favor Ferrari and Mercedes, who have excelled at high downforce circuits, as opposed to Red Bull, whose power has been king in 2022. The Dutch circuit requires an incredibly high amount of downforce, and the ability to carry speed through corners will make a major difference here. Russell has shined in his debut season with Mercedes, finishing in the Top 5 in every race he has completed while recording five podiums in 14 races.
Two of those podium finishes are especially relevant here, as Hungary is the purpose-built track that requires the highest downforce, while Spain's third sector is similarly aero-needy. It was just two races ago, in Hungary, where Russell took the first pole position of his Formula 1 career and went on to finish third in the race, with teammate Lewis Hamilton — emphasizing Mercedes' strength at high-downforce tracks — finishing second.
Both drivers should have strong weekends in Zandvoort, but not only has Russell been the more consistent driver this season, but he also has longer odds to finish on the podium . Mercedes to record a double podium is also well worth a flier, more-or-less taking a chance on Sergio Perez underwhelming and/or one of the Ferraris underperforming... for any number of reasons. After Merc finished 1-2 in FP1 on Friday, the line there shrank from +650 to +450, but it's still a worthwhile longshot.
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