It’s always tough fading Logan Webb, but the Diamondbacks shouldn’t be this big of an underdog.
Webb is a superstar. He has three above-average offerings in his sinker, changeup, and slider. He consistently produces a ground-ball rate north of 50% and avoids walks with excellent command, keeping his FIP down.
Diamondbacks starter Ryne Nelson has a high ceiling. He’s upped the velocity on his fastball, which now comes in more than 95 mph, generating a 13 swinging-strike rate . He’s also added a cutter that induces a 69% ground-ball rate . I also project significant positive regression for Nelson. His 5.27 ERA is juiced behind a low strand rate and high BABIP . I expect him to trend toward his 4.11 expected ERA, especially with how many chases he produces .Action Network senior MLB writer Sean Zerillo projects them for a 110 wRC+ against right-handed pitching this season. He projects the Giants to post a 98 wRC+ against the side.
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