Opinion: The New Hampshire primary probably won't tell us who will be the Democratic nominee, but that might be a good thing for the party. By MichaelGordonUS of GroupGordon
of the Democratic party, the breathless speculation on New Hampshire is intense but missing the mark.
Since 1980, with the exception of Bob Dole and George W. Bush, New Hampshire has saved Republican after Republican who has faltered in Iowa. Three of the past four Republican Presidents, including the current one, proved their case first in the granite state. Other than when incumbent Presidents are on the ballot, the Republicans have never chosen the same winner in both early contests.
When New Hampshire has amplified the Iowa result and given a candidate a double-victory, the results have been disastrous. Starting in 1980, the three times Iowa and New Hampshire agreed on a winner in contested primary battles, the Democrats lost the general election: John Kerry in 2004, Al Gore in 2000, and President Jimmy Carter in 1980, when he was in a primary nomination fight with Senator Ted Kennedy.
When a primary nomination seems preordained with the one-two punch of Iowa and New Hampshire, Democratic voters can be less engaged. So while pundits and the opposition party like to laugh at the array of candidates vying to take on Trump, a spirited battle to Milwaukee could be the ticket to victory in November. A longer, contested primary season could be enough to help the party defeat President Trump, who is showingThere is much to be decided during this primary season.
Indonesia Berita Terbaru, Indonesia Berita utama
Similar News:Anda juga dapat membaca berita serupa dengan ini yang kami kumpulkan dari sumber berita lain.
Pete Buttigieg surges to small lead in New Hampshire amid post-Iowa bounce, new poll findsAfter Iowa, Buttigieg is riding a wave of momentum into New Hampshire, climbing 14 percentage points in the same Suffolk tracking poll since Monday.
Baca lebih lajut »
Buttigieg surges 12 points in New Hampshire as Sanders still leads, gaining 2 points: new pollSenator Bernie Sanders is in the lead with 29 percent, followed by former South Bend, Indiana Mayor Pete Buttigieg at 25 percent, according to a CBS News poll.
Baca lebih lajut »
Buttigieg's rivals pile on in New Hampshire after his Iowa successPete Buttigieg has faced criticism unlike anything he has seen so far in the 2020 Democratic race ahead of the New Hampshire primary.
Baca lebih lajut »
New Hampshire Primary: Donald Trump Will Try To Steal Democrats’ ShowDemocratic candidates are scrambling across New Hampshire anxious to draw crowds and beat expectations, but President Donald Trump is likely to garner the biggest audience when he speaks on the eve…
Baca lebih lajut »
Why New Hampshire says it won’t be the next IowaThe meltdown of last week’s Democratic caucus is upping the pressure on the nation’s first primary to go off without a hitch.
Baca lebih lajut »