Democrats Are Starting to See a Path to Victory in November

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Democrats Are Starting to See a Path to Victory in November
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Recent victories and GOP overreach on issues like abortion are giving Democrats a chance to build momentum. “Republicans are doing us a solid with all their crazy shit,” a House campaign operative says, but Democrats aren't “measuring the drapes” yet.

What’s this? A Democratic political winning streak? First came the riveting January 6 hearings, with more promised in the fall. Followed by a sweeping, surprising—if tentative—Senate deal on climate change, taxes, and health care. Then the killing of Ayman al-Zawahiri, a leader of al-Qaida and a key plotter of the September 11 attacks. And on Tuesday night, the resounding rejection by Kansas voters of a proposed amendment that would have allowed state legislators to ban abortion.

Potent, that is, if Democrats can effectively sell it as a promise kept. Recent history on that front is not encouraging: The president and Democrats have gotten little credit for one of the biggest wins of Biden’s presidency, the trillion-dollar infrastructure bill. “We haven’t been able to message anything correctly from the jump,” says a Democratic strategist who is involved in one of this year’s pivotal U.S. Senate contests.

the executive director of the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee, is running a tight and effective ship. On the House campaign side, Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee executive directorhas assembled an operation that has, among other things, closely tracked the January 6 hearings, assembling footage and other research that can be deployed on behalf of Democratic frontline candidates.

The results in Kansas on Tuesday night only underscore that thinking and will embolden that messaging. Yet the defeat of a constitutional amendment on a single issue in one state—even a deep red state—is very different from winning dozens of matchups between competing candidates spread across starkly different districts and regions.

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