This week, we look at the health department's projections for cases in mid-May, more Omicron subvariants, and reinfection risks.
MANILA, Philippines – New coronavirus cases in the Philippines are on a plateau, averaging some 272 cases per day following weeks of decline. About 60% of Filipinos have received two doses of a COVID-19 vaccine.While case numbers have dropped from March to April, the risk of COVID-19 is still all too real. The
Cases are low now, but “it would be very, very, very short-sighted to assume that lower numbers of cases means an absolute lower risk,” said Dr. Mike Ryan, WHO Health Emergencies Program executive director.20% decrease in compliance: 34,788 active cases – including over 564 severe cases and 267 critical cases in mid-Mayhose numbers would surpass the peak in cases seen during the recent Omicron wave, when as many as 291,618 active cases were tallied in January 2022.
Projections aren’t set in stone and can be influenced by our behavior and response. So if the public were to keep its guard up and get boosted, active cases across the country could plateau between 1,293 and 16,934 in mid-May. WHO COVID-19 technical lead Maria Van Kerkhove told reporters in a recent briefing that there was no change in epidemiology or severity for the subvariants at the moment.
The study highlights the “potential limits” of immunity from infection, especially if new variants are circulating. It also shows how being up to date with vaccination – meaning you’ve received all doses you’re eligible for – remains the safest way to prevent future infections.
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