China’s snub of U.S. military leader highlights escalation risk

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China’s snub of U.S. military leader highlights escalation risk
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Brief smiles and handshakes by U.S. and Chinese military leaders at a luxury hotel in Singapore on Friday belie a deep freeze in communications between the two armed forces that is becoming a growing worry at the Pentagon.

The U.S. military has responded by pushing for open lines of communication with their Chinese counterparts – both at senior and working levels – to mitigate the risk of potential flare-ups, something it has long advocated.

Zhu Feng, dean of the School of International Studies at Nanjing University, said Beijing believed the sanctions on Li showed that the United States was not sincere in efforts to talk with China.“The main reason why China is reluctant to have its defense minister meet with the U.S. is because we think dialogue must be on equal terms,” Zhu said.

As a result, China’s leaders don’t believe it’s in their interest to use military talks to lower U.S. anxieties, said Jacob Stokes, a senior fellow at the Center for a New American Security. “Especially given the ongoing Ukraine war, the Chinese don’t quite see the danger of getting into a military conflict with U.S. as significant. Had they believed the threat is higher, they would adopt a different attitude toward the mil-to-mil dialogue,” said Sun.

CIA director William Burns visited China last month and held talks with Chinese counterparts to emphasize “the importance of maintaining open lines of communication in intelligence channels,” a U.S. official said on Friday.An accidental military clash with China is not a theoretical danger.

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