A new study suggests that China’s early coronavirus cases may have been 4 times higher than the official tally
China reported approximately 55,000 coronavirus cases at the height of the country’s first wave in late February, but, according to a newby researchers at the University of Hong Kong, the actual toll may be closer to 232,000, a finding that furthers evidence that China underreported its caseload.... [+]
Shanghai, China. Health authorities of China said the country has passed the peak of the COVID-19 epidemic on March 12. As of today, the Coronavirus pandemic has spread to many countries across the world, claiming over 184,000 lives and infecting over 2.6 million people. Between January 15 and March 3, China issued seven different benchmarks that defined a coronavirus case, a moving target found to have a “substantial effect” on early case numbers, according to the researchers.
Initially very narrow, each of the first four definitions increased the scope of people considered infected, and had the fifth definition been used from the outset, there would have been four times as many cases reported by February 20, the study estimates. The researchers were unable to collect necessary data after February 20 and therefore could not examine the effects of the sixth and seventh versions on estimated case count.
The data comes as tension between the United States and China over the latter’s handling of the virus continues to escalate, with the U.S. casting skepticism over China’s official case numbers and the country’s handling of the crisis in its early stages, including communicating the risk to the rest of the world.
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