The average American is more economically liberal, and more socially conservative, than the media tends to assume. Can someone like Elizabeth Warren win back these voters? Or will it be Tucker Carlson?
for joking about keeping a girl away from men as he does for flip-flopping on China.
How many old-school Democrats might find themselves tempted to bolt the party, if presented with a candidate offering Carlson’s pitch? Political scientists speak of the economically left and culturally right quadrant of voters as being underserved. But if the above numbers are representative, it’s not just an underserved quadrant. It’s the deciding quadrant. To put it another way, the center of gravity in American politics is among what you might call Deplorable New Dealers.
You could argue that this dilemma has existed since the 1960s, when a commitment to civil rights cost Democrats their hold on the South, and that Democrats must stay true to social justice today as they did in the 1960s, lest they lose their soul. But you could also argue that the moral stakes have changed. Twitter and academia treat many of today’s crusades for liberation as the moral equivalents of the civil rights movement of the 1960s, but most Americans don’t seem to see it at that way.
Whoever wins the presidency after Trump is likely to have done as Carlson suggested and looked up from his or her ideology, something that has been rare even after all the populist earthquakes around the world. Twenty years ago, our partisan fights were vicious, but there was a broad consensus about how the world works.
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