Bond investors stuck in uncertain middle on threat of wider Middle East conflict
investors are now stuck in an uncertain middle as the threat of the Iran-Israel conflict causing a wider war is set to linger, keeping oil prices higher, and the Federal Reserve in a higher for longer interest rate stance to guard against inflation.
Israel is reportedly weighing up an imminent response to an attack from Iran over the weekend, NBC reported Monday, citing an unnamed Israeli official. The news come just days after Iran launched a retaliatory attack on Israel after accusing the latter of striking its consulate building in Syria. "Wars demand more resources to be directed toward defense and war-making, Macquarie says, causing supply chains to shift to less optimal configurations and consumers and business to hoard.
In the war of attrition, which has been ongoing between Iran and Israel,"the threat of super-power involvement stays low," curbing the prospect of a wave of bids into safe haven bonds, but the potential for supply disruptions and higher oil prices will keep the Fed guarded against inflation, keeping U.S. rates higher for longer, likely denting bond prices.
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