Bludgeoned bond markets hope peak inflation will bring revival in 2023

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Bludgeoned bond markets hope peak inflation will bring revival in 2023
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Many of the world’s big bond fund managers, from BlackRock to Vanguard, are optimistic that sovereign debt markets have turned a corner after a rout in 2022 with peak inflation and interest rates finally in sight. | Reuters

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“Trading was difficult in a sense that the market was not properly functioning. Futures are the most common tool for hedging but there was time when it didn’t work,” said Tomohiro Mikajiri, Barclays’ head of yen and non-yen fixed income trading, Japan. Jeffrey Sherman, Deputy CIO at DoubleLine, which manages almost $100 billion in assets, said his portfolio combines exposure to high-quality credit and Treasuries.

Others favoured corporate bonds, especially investment-grade firms with short-dated debt yields now over 5 percent, deeming them safer to invest in compared with earlier this year as a recession looms. Estimates for European bond sales after accounting for central bank purchases in 2023 are as high as over 500 billion euros.

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