Biden has enormous polling lead in Democratic primary, despite challenge from RFK Jr.

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Biden has enormous polling lead in Democratic primary, despite challenge from RFK Jr.
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Pres. Biden has an early lead in FiveThirtyEight's new Democratic presidential primary polling average as he ramps up his reelection campaign.

As of Thursday, the new average shows Biden with 65.5% support nationally and controversial environmental advocate and attorney Robert F. Kennedy Jr. trailing at a distant 14.2%, despite extensive media attention andMarianne Williamson, a bestselling author and speaker whose campaign is being run by a revolving door of strategists on a shoestring budget,, is not included in the average as she does not meet FiveThirtyEight's criteria to be a major candidate.

MORE: McCarthy tells Republicans that Biden impeachment probe is on the table, at some point: Sources "American politics is very, very unpredictable," she previously told ABC News, casting her lack of political expertise as an asset: "The problem is not that we don't have good political car mechanics in Washington," she said then. "The problem is that we are on the wrong road. And that's what I know about."

"In 2020, they assembled a broad and diverse coalition that resulted in the most votes in American history for a presidential ticket. And, coming off of the best midterm for a sitting president since FDR, they will do it again in 2024 and prevail over the MAGA extremist agenda that seeks to rip away basic freedoms from Americans across every state," Ducklo said.

On top of that, allies note, Biden has the ability to use Air Force One to bounce around the campaign trail and he can roll out policies -- including the bipartisan infrastructure bill and funding for microchip manufacturing -- from the White House.Susan Walsh/AP The latter two are more free to campaign in the Iowa caucuses and New Hampshire primary amid a shake-up over the Democrats' larger primary calendar, as party officials seek to prioritize other states like South Carolina. That could mean either Kennedy or Williamson may technically win in Iowa or New Hampshire over Biden, if Biden avoids campaigning there out of deference to the DNC -- a potentially stinging but only symbolic loss.

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