Cash should be 'the real winner' in 2023 while bonds are preferable to stocks, according to Barclays analysts.
Cash should be “the real winner” in 2023 while bonds are preferable to stocks, according to Barclays.
“In the U.S. in particular, investors will soon be able to make 4.5% a year or more sitting on cash as they wait for asset markets to bottom,” Barclays analysts said in a research note Wednesday. Stocks are “likely to bottom out” in the first half of next year, they said. They recommended fixed income over stocks after bonds “massively underperformed” equities this year. There’s now “limited downside in longer U.S. fixed income,” according to their note.
“The ability to earn over 4% while taking virtually no risk is a factor that should drag on both stock and bond markets next year,” the Barclays analysts said. “Despite the recent euphoria over the last CPI report, monetary policy risks have not receded,” the Barclays analysts cautioned. “Prior weak inflation prints in March and July were followed by upside surprises in subsequent months.”
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