The conversation on Europe’s future comes at a delicate moment. Ukraine’s slow progress on the battlefield comes as support the United States suddenly looks a bit shaky.
GRANADA, Spain — The European Union has drawn an era-defining lesson from the war in Ukraine: If we don’t expand, Russia will. But fear over softening support from allies has served as a reminder of how challenging that will be.Alarmed by the conflict at its doorstep, a union forged from the ashes of World War II is mulling a historic rethink that could transform Ukraine and remake the region.
There is broad consensus that growing in necessary to counter Russia and its allies — good news to Kyiv and other capitals. Yet as leaders assemble in Spain to start their deliberations, the challenges ahead loom larger than ever. “Our joint goal is to ensure the security and stability of our common European home,” he said. “Ukraine’s key priority, particularly as winter approaches, is to strengthen air defense."Even in the best of times, expanding the E.U. to include Ukraine and others would be a complex, costly and politically perilous process.
The challenge in Brussels will be equally complex. The prospect of bringing in Ukraine and other new members has renewed questions about how the bloc runs at 27 members, as well as how it would run with Ukraine and others in the fold. Some also wonder if and how the E.U. can welcome new members when it is struggling, very publicly, with current members like Hungary and Poland. In a much larger bloc, with more members and an even broader set of interests, what mechanisms will be available to deal with outliers?
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