Analysis | The Miami Heat’s playoff run is the NBA’s most surprising in 35 years

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Analysis | The Miami Heat’s playoff run is the NBA’s most surprising in 35 years
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Analysis: Based on the opening series prices of each playoff round, the Heat were given less than a one percent chance to reach the NBA Finals.

of each playoff round set by oddsmakers, the Heat were given less than a one percent chance to reach the NBA Finals: 109-to-1 odds, to be precise. That eclipses the unlikely run by the 1994-95 Houston Rockets, the only team since the playoffs were expanded to a 16-team format in 1984 to win the title without having home-court advantage in any of the four playoff rounds. The Rockets had an implied chance of 2.

How has the Heat done it? Credit a combination of stellar performances by star Jimmy Butler, the second-half mastery of Coach Erik Spoelstra and precision shooting by the entire roster. Butler’s scoring rate improved from 22.9 points per game during the regular season to 28.5 points per game in the playoffs. He’s produced the fourth-highest player efficiency rating in the 2023 postseason, and is

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