Analysis | The likeliest — but still unlikely — gun bill: A ‘red-flag law’

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Analysis | The likeliest — but still unlikely — gun bill: A ‘red-flag law’
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It's perhaps the one proposal that seems to have real bipartisan prospects. But Republicans' uneasy handling of it shows how dim those prospects are.

“In 5 out of 5 of the most deadly school shootings, the killers displayed warning signs of being a potential threat to themselves or others,” Ducey’s program stated in 2018. “This stunning fact illustrates the need for a legal tool to keep firearms out of the hands of dangerous individuals.”

This again appears to be the case in the recent mass shootings. While New York’s red-flag law was ineffective in the recent Buffalo massacre, that appears to owe more to the law’s limits and how it was implemented in this particular case than a more general wrongheadedness. And in Uvalde, as The Washington Post’s team notes, there were. Whether they would have risen to the level of a red-flag law’s threshold we can’t know, but no law will prevent every single mass shooting.

Ducey seemed to be drawing a line between his proposal — dubbed a “Severe Threat Order of Protection,” or STOP — and the “red flag” label, even as a spokesman said at the time that Ducey’s proposal was “Another spokesman said Wednesday that Ducey, despite eschewing the “red flag” label, still supports the idea. “We thought it was a good policy then and still do,” spokesman C.J. Karamargin said.

Regardless, though, the fact that the guy who went out on a limb for such a law was so wary of the “red flag” label — along with Trump and Abbott also distancing themselves from the idea — points to how this can and will play with the broader GOP. And for that reason, while a red-flag law might be the likeliest product of the coming debate, it’s still highly unlikely to become a reality.

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