As South Korea’s new conservative president prepares to take office, North Korea is outlining an expansive, ambiguous, and potentially destabilising doctrine for using its nuclear weapons, analysts said.
In a speech at a military parade on Monday, North Korean leader Kim Jong Un said his nuclear force was not only tasked with preventing war through deterrence, but potentially carrying out strikes against anyone who violates the North’s “fundamental interests.
The U.S. military did not immediately comment on the specifics of Kim's wording, but said the North's nuclear and missile programmes "constitute a serious threat to international peace and security." “We call it ‘a threat that leaves something to chance,’” said Melissa Hanham, a researcher at Stanford University's Center for International Security and Cooperation in California. “The idea is to get your adversary to back off and be afraid of doing the unknown action that would trigger nuclear war, but it's also a form of brinksmanship that can escalate to nuclear war due to accident or misunderstanding.
But other North Korean statements have appeared to undercut those principles. In 2016, for example, North Korea's military threatened to carry out a "pre-emptive nuclear strike of justice" against South Korea and the United States. "This means that North Korea declared that it could preemptively use nukes based on its arbitrary assessment, even not under military situations," said Park Won-gon, a North Korea studies professor at Ewha Womans University in Seoul.
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