The May 2 assault claimed more than 50 lives, according to local officials and Western security personnel in Somalia, making it the deadliest strike on the U.S.-backed peacekeeping mission there in six years.
, which had intensified under Trump, slowed dramatically during the first year of the Biden administration, according to data from the U.S. Africa Command.These days al-Shabab’s “tax base” includes all kinds of businesses, hotels, real estate developments, construction sites and even the port in Mogadishu. At the same time, it has set up schools, clinics and police departments in areas it controls.
“The places I can go as a member of Parliament are limited,” said Mohamed Moalimu, a lawmaker who has survived five assassination attempts, including one outside his home in January. He now lives in a heavily secured hotel in front of the airport. “It means that even Mogadishu is not safe.”In El Baraf, the Burundian peacekeepers never made real connections with residents.
“Despite over a decade of training, we still haven’t reached a point where we have sufficient Somali forces to be able to take control,” Lortan said. The mission “can only succeed if the government is a viable partner. … This has been the missing link.” Nine other civilians remain missing and are presumed dead. Officials suspect they were taken away by al-Shabab and executed as collaborators.
“If we know this is their tactic, what can we do to counter that?” replied Jay, who asked that he be identified only by his first name because of security protocols.“Can we just tell the truth about what’s happening?” Jay said. “Can we tell the population that we marked the aid in a way that it’s difficult to change it, that it’s sent by the government?”The announcement of the Americans’ return coincided with the election in May of a new Somali president, Hassan Sheikh Mohamud.
The African Union mission is separately winding down. Its funding is running out; a departure date has been set for 2024. Yet Lortan said the government “is not in a position to take over in 2024” if the Somali army remains unprepared and militants continue to dominate much of the country’s terrain.
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