Many Afghans are nervous that America, in its haste to leave, will fail to protect Afghanistan's interests
can be surprisingly violent. On September 2nd Zalmay Khalilzad, America’s envoy to Afghanistan’s “reconciliation”, as the State Department calls it, gavenews, an Afghan news service, details of a draft agreement hammered out after nine rounds of negotiation with the Taliban. As the interview was being broadcast late into the evening, a truck-bomb exploded in Kabul, killing at least 30 people, the third attack in the country in three days claimed by the Taliban.
Mr Khalilzad seems to have given ground on the ceasefire, saying only that the provinces of Kabul and Parwan—home to Bagram airfield, the largest American base in Afghanistan—would see a “reduction in violence” in the first stage of the deal. But he also said that any return of an Islamic emirate—the Taliban’s term for the government toppled in the American-lead invasion in 2001—was unacceptable, suggesting that America would not allow the insurgents to dictate terms to the Afghan state.
The steady watering-down of American demands is a worrying sign, in their eyes. Whereas America once insisted that the Taliban would need to negotiate directly with the Afghan government on a political settlement for the country, it now seems more likely that the insurgents will hash out the issue with a more nebulous group of political elites and civil-society representatives.
As a result, says Mr Smith, “Afghanistan is now on the brink of serious peace talks for the first time in a generation.” He says both the Taliban and the Afghan government are already preparing negotiating teams and policy positions, and that European governments are getting ready to host talks, possibly in Norway.
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